
Republican · House · MS
Michael Patrick Guest's stock portfolio and returns vs the S&P 500, built from publicly disclosed congressional trades. Simulated using FIFO position matching and time-weighted returns.
Portfolio Value
$502K
Unrealized P&L
$181K
+56.6%
Realized P&L
-$10K
Open Positions
33
Performance vs S&P 500
1M
-2.3%
SPY -0.8%
α -1.5%
3M
+1.9%
SPY +14.0%
α -12.1%
6M
+2.0%
SPY +7.8%
α -5.8%
1Y
+18.0%
SPY +24.0%
α -6.1%
3Y
+51.4%
SPY +71.4%
α -20.0%
5Y
+18.1%
SPY +75.8%
α -57.7%
All
+17.1%
SPY +122.8%
α -105.7%
Head-to-head with S&P 500
Live Holdings33 positions
| Ticker | Shares | Current | Value | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291 | $207.84 | $61K | +278.4% | |
| 243 | $138.44 | $34K | +110.5% | |
| 152 | $174.60 | $26K | +231.3% | |
| 331 | $71.43 | $24K | +47.8% | |
| 57 | $405.41 | $23K | +43.7% | |
| 95 | $233.41 | $22K | +38.1% | |
| 907 | $22.17 | $20K | -17.0% | |
| 150 | $117.20 | $18K | +119.1% | |
| 51 | $331.58 | $17K | +111.5% | |
| 72 | $222.73 | $16K | +101.1% | |
UE UEC | 1,391 | $11.44 | $16K | +99.0% |
| 62 | $241.73 | $15K | +87.0% | |
IN INSW | 163 | $88.30 | $14K | +79.4% |
| 45 | $297.28 | $13K | +66.2% | |
| 29 | $452.84 | $13K | +64.2% | |
PR PR | 651 | $18.93 | $12K | +54.0% |
| 53 | $229.09 | $12K | +52.4% | |
| 35 | $344.39 | $12K | +51.6% | |
| 69 | $174.81 | $12K | +50.6% | |
| 8 | $1523.34 | $12K | +47.7% | |
SW SWX | 124 | $88.94 | $11K | +38.2% |
| 289 | $37.67 | $11K | +36.2% | |
| 46 | $230.69 | $11K | +33.3% | |
| 117 | $86.14 | $10K | +25.5% | |
| 20 | $462.77 | $9K | +18.5% | |
| 24 | $369.09 | $9K | +11.8% | |
| 50 | $174.97 | $9K | +9.4% | |
| 56 | $138.40 | $8K | -3.4% | |
| 36 | $214.17 | $8K | -4.1% | |
| 94 | $79.20 | $7K | -6.5% | |
| 27 | $270.59 | $7K | -7.1% | |
| 180 | $29.80 | $5K | -33.1% | |
| 61 | $62.58 | $4K | -52.2% |
About this simulation
This portfolio is a simulation built from publicly disclosed STOCK Act filings. Since politicians only report trade amounts as ranges (e.g., “$1,001 - $15,000”), we use the midpoint of each range and the closing price on the trade date to estimate share counts. Returns are calculated using Time-Weighted Return (TWR), the industry standard for measuring stock-picking skill independent of cash flow timing. Read the full methodology →